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Wage and outlook figures are U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics national data (May 2025 wages, 2025 to 2035 projections). How we use data
Original TrainingForFuture research · 2026 edition

2026 Skilled Trades Opportunity Index

A transparent national comparison of skilled trades using three things job seekers can verify: pay, projected growth, and annual openings.

Published September 16, 2026 · 18 occupations · BLS May 2025 wages + 2025 to 2035 projections

Interactive rankings

Compare the same occupations four different ways.

The overall score balances labor-market opportunity. The other views show the raw BLS metric directly so you can see why a career rises or falls.

181/100

Industrial Machinery Mechanic / Millwright

Pay$64,100
Growth+14%
Openings51.9K
Overall index81
274/100

Electrician

Pay$63,190
Growth+9%
Openings72.7K
Overall index74
373/100

Electrical Power-Line Installer / Repairer

Pay$95,320
Growth+10%
Openings10.9K
Overall index73
470/100

Plumber / Pipefitter

Pay$63,800
Growth+7%
Openings42K
Overall index70
564/100

HVAC Technician

Pay$61,010
Growth+11%
Openings40.6K
Overall index64
663/100

Elevator & Escalator Installer / Repairer

Pay$109,910
Growth+6%
Openings1.9K
Overall index63
763/100

Wind Turbine Technician

Pay$64,120
Growth+30%
Openings1.5K
Overall index63
858/100

Heavy & Tractor-Trailer Truck Driver

Pay$58,640
Growth+4%
Openings215K
Overall index58
956/100

Carpenter

Pay$60,580
Growth+4%
Openings62.8K
Overall index56
1052/100

Construction & Building Inspector

Pay$74,690
Growth0%
Openings14.8K
Overall index52
1141/100

Sheet Metal Worker

Pay$61,800
Growth+3%
Openings9.8K
Overall index41
1241/100

Solar Photovoltaic Installer

Pay$53,140
Growth+37%
Openings4.2K
Overall index41
1339/100

Boilermaker

Pay$76,410
Growth-2%
Openings700
Overall index39
1439/100

Roofer

Pay$55,440
Growth+5%
Openings12K
Overall index39
1536/100

Ironworker

Pay$61,910
Growth+1%
Openings6.8K
Overall index36
1635/100

Welder

Pay$53,750
Growth+2%
Openings40.3K
Overall index35
1734/100

Masonry Worker

Pay$58,270
Growth+1%
Openings18.4K
Overall index34
1831/100

Construction & Maintenance Painter

Pay$49,400
Growth+3%
Openings24.9K
Overall index31

Ranking numbers in this table change when you switch views. The final “Index” column always shows TrainingForFuture's overall opportunity score.

How the score works

Transparent by design.

The index is intentionally simple enough to audit. It compares each occupation only against the other occupations in this edition.

40%

Median pay

40% — percentile rank of the May 2025 national median annual wage among included occupations.

30%

Projected growth

30% — percentile rank of the BLS 2025 to 2035 projected employment-growth rate among included occupations.

30%

Annual openings

30% — percentile rank of projected annual openings among included occupations.

Questions about the index

What the score means, and what it does not.

How is the Opportunity Index calculated?

The 2026 index uses a weighted percentile score across the skilled-trade occupations in TrainingForFuture's official national dataset. Median annual pay receives 40% of the score, projected 2025 to 2035 employment growth 30%, and projected annual openings 30%.

Does the highest score mean the career is best for everyone?

No. The index compares national labor-market opportunity only. It does not measure personal fit, local licensing, physical demands, work schedule, cost of living, or an individual's likely earnings.

How are grouped occupations handled?

Some rows use a BLS profile that covers several occupations, such as Industrial Machinery Mechanic / Millwright (SOC 49-9041, 49-9043 and 49-9044). For those rows we use the combined BLS profile figures, not an average of the individual occupations. A few rows do not yet list a SOC code in the download because we have not verified the mapping to the BLS profile; we leave those blank instead of guessing.

What can the weights and national data not tell me?

The 40/30/30 weights are our editorial choice, not a measured importance of pay, growth and openings for any person. National figures cannot show your local wages, how many openings are in your area, whether an employer will hire a beginner, or what a program costs where you live. Use the index to decide which trades deserve a closer look, then check local sources.

What data does the 2026 edition use?

The current edition uses U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics May 2025 national wage benchmarks and 2025 to 2035 employment projections for 18 skilled-trade occupations maintained in TrainingForFuture's official-data registry.

Source notes

Built from public data. Analysis is TrainingForFuture's.

Underlying wage and employment figures come from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. TrainingForFuture created the weighting method, percentile scoring, ranking, presentation and interpretation.

Wages

National median annual wage, May 2025.

Growth

Projected percentage employment change, 2025 to 2035.

Openings

Projected annual openings, including growth and replacement needs.

Cite this research

How to cite the Opportunity Index

This is TrainingForFuture's own index. It is not a ranking published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, which supplies only the underlying wage, growth and openings data.

TrainingForFuture. "2026 Skilled Trades Opportunity Index." Published September 16, 2026. https://trainingforfuture.com/research/skilled-trades-opportunity-index-2026. Underlying data: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 2025 wages and 2025 to 2035 projections, verified September 13, 2026. Add your own access date.
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